Thought Leadership
Risk and Resilience in a Changing World
15 April 2025

When working with nature-based commodities, risk is an inevitability. These commodities emerge from complex natural systems, influenced by a wide range of environmental, social, and economic variables. But what’s not inevitable - what’s unique to this moment - is the scale and severity of the risk. Nature-based commodities now sit at the center of vast, multi-party, multi-jurisdictional supply chains - at a time when environmental volatility and geopolitical instability are rising.
Risk is no longer theoretical; it’s playing out in real time - across fractured supply chains, volatile markets, and landscapes reshaped by climate and ecological stress. Yet despite mounting pressure, many enterprises still operate with limited visibility, responding only after losses occur.
Navigating this new reality requires a fundamental shift - from retrospective analysis to proactive, real-time insight. Treefera’s Risk solution is built for that shift, providing the clarity and predictive intelligence businesses need to anticipate disruption and act decisively.
Making Risk Actionable
Treefera’s Risk solution is built to help enterprises model exposure, anticipate disruption, and make informed decisions under pressure. It brings together high-resolution satellite data, historical hazard patterns, and predictive analytics to identify where and when businesses are most exposed - providing opportunity for action.
One example is Location Risk Analysis, which combines decades of historical fire and wind hazard data at a 30-meter resolution. This allows teams to evaluate risk at the site level, supporting more precise decisions – whether for plot-level underwriting in insurance or physical risk evaluation across global assets.
Treefera also offers Risk Scenario Forecasting that moves beyond static risk snapshots. By modeling future environmental stress based on asset-level and ecosystem-wide factors, enterprises can plan for climate volatility, anticipate shifts in land condition, and adjust sourcing and logistics accordingly.
Connecting Environmental and Human Risk
Understanding risk in isolation is no longer enough. Ecosystems and economies are interdependent - and so are the risks that affect them. Treefera’s Ecological and Socio-Economic Monitoring gives companies visibility into land use pressure, resource strain, and community vulnerability. These insights are critical for supply planning and investment strategy, especially in regions with dynamic environmental or social conditions.
For businesses with distributed operations or supplier networks, this visibility also supports regional exposure comparisons, helping prioritize where to invest in resilience or reduce dependence on high-risk areas.
From Insight to Advantage
Treefera’s Risk product doesn’t stop at detection - it helps organizations prioritize action. Through Risk Assessment and Evaluation, users receive defensible risk tolerance ratings and benchmark scores across suppliers, geographies, or timeframes. This structured view enables internal alignment on exposure thresholds and supports reporting to external stakeholders.
Built for the First-Mile
What sets Treefera apart is where we focus. Resilience starts at the source of production – where commodities are grown, extracted, or transported - and that’s where risk must be measured first. Our platform brings clarity to the first-mile, equipping businesses with timely, localized, and defensible data to make smarter decisions upstream, where they matter most.
In a world where environmental volatility and regulatory demands are rising, Treefera helps enterprises turn risk visibility into resilience. By improving transparency and foresight, we empower teams to build better planning, stronger supply chains, and more predictable revenue – no matter what’s ahead.